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Lost

Posted January 31, 2007

This past road trip to Oklahoma State and Missouri ended CU's slim chances of playing in the WNIT this year, unless the Buffs suddenly go on a tear and upset nearly every team left on their schedule.

The Buffs went into last week's road trip with an 8-9 record.

Instead of winning two winnable games at Oklahoma State and Missouri, the Buffs lost and fell to 8-11.

Looking ahead, and based on the way the team is playing, you'd expect CU to maybe beat K-State at home and sweep Kansas to finish 11-18 (including a first-round loss in Big 12 tournament).

But if CU had won its two games last week, it's a different story. The Buffs would be 10-9 heading into the home stretch.

With momentum on their side, CU would beat K-State and Texas Tech at home this week to go to 12-9, and 13-9 after a game at Kansas next week.

Maybe that's enough confidence for the team to knock off Nebraska at home on Feb. 10 to go to 14-9.

Let's say, though, they lost to Nebraska and are 13-10.

Then give CU four losses in its last five games (at K-State, at Iowa State, Baylor at home, Kansas at home and at Nebraska) and CU finishes 14-14.

They'd have to win one game at the Big 12 tournament and would finish 15-15. It would be a long shot. But maybe CU gets into the WNIT based on Colorado's reputation. And, at that point, they'd have wins over Iowa State, Kansas State and Texas Tech to bolster their RPI.